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Definition:
“The Process of developing a document that formally authorizes the existence of a project and provides the Project Manager with the authority to apply organizational resources to project activities”
The definition shown above in italics is taken from the Glossary of the Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® Guide) – Fifth Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2013
Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® – Fifth Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2013 Figure 4-2 Page 66 Guide)
- States or references the business need
- Can be progressively elaborated
- Product Scope Description - Documents the characteristics of the end product, service or result
- Strategic Plan – Vision, Goals, Objectives Strategic Alignment
- The Project SOW:
- Justification for the investment in the Project Contents typically:
- Investment Appraisal also called the Finance Case
May be a:
- Payback Period – Breakeven Point
If Project “A” has NPV of $45K, Project “B” has NPV of $75K, what is the Opportunity Cost of selecting Project “B” (i.e. not selecting Project A)?
Eg. A family might decide to use a short period of vacation time to visit Disneyland rather than doing household renovations.
The opportunity cost of having happier children could therefore be (not having) a remodelled bathroom.
- Benefits : Cost sounds more positive than Cost : Benefits
You invest $100 and get back $120 then your BCR =
- Total Revenue (Benefit) : Cost
- in this case, BCR = (120:100) = 1.2 : 1 , the BCR is higher than 1 so is good.
Project Cost £100,000
Project timescale 6 months
Maintenance costs £6000/year
Benefits £100,000 per year
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
Project costs |
£100,000 |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
Maintenance costs |
£3,000 |
£6,000 |
£6,000 |
£6,000 |
£6,000 |
Benefits |
£50,000 |
£100,000 |
£100,000 |
£100,000 |
£100,000 |
Net |
-£53,000 |
£94,000 |
£94,000 |
£94,000 |
£94,000 |
Cum. Net |
-£53,000 |
£41,000 |
£135,000 |
£229,000 |
£323,000 |
Time to accrue £53,000 in year 2 = £53,000 * 12 months/94,00 = 7 months
Payback period = 1 year 7 months
= (average annual profit/original investment) * 100%
Average annual profit = total profit/number of years
If Project cost is £100k:
The Board would bite your hand off if presented with this project!!
- Enables the analysis of future net cash flows discounted back "at an appropriate interest rate" into present value terms
- Relies on a discount rate
- Three techniques use DCF
It's unlikely to be a requirement to carry out these calculations in the PMP ® exam. But you do need to be able to interpret / understand the above.
- Money in the company should be used to maximum effect
- If left in a bank and the interest rate were 10%, then:
also known as discounting, is the reverse effect.
This money invested into the project has to take into account the effect of “e.g. inflation of 10%”
Using the formulae
i=interest rate; n= number of time periods
- Present Value is always less than the equivalent Future Value
- Example – What is the Future Value of $21,500 invested at 8% in 3 years time?
Calculation: $21,500 x (1.08 x 1.08 x 1.08 (=1.26)) = $27,084
This is the total of the discounted cash flows, in and out, over the life of the project. It allows you to calculate an accurate value for the project in today’s £££
- Always choose the project with the greatest NPV
Example of NPV:
Year |
Total Cost |
Revenue or Benefits |
Net Cash Flow |
Discounted Factor 10% |
Discounted Cash Flow |
0 |
£900,000 |
0 |
-£900,000 |
1 |
-£900,000 |
1 |
£80,000 |
£80,000 |
0.909 |
£72,727 |
|
2 |
£160,000 |
£160,000 |
0.826 |
£132,231 |
|
3 |
£280,000 |
£280,000 |
0.751 |
£210,368 |
|
4 |
£420,000 |
£420,000 |
0.683 |
£286,866 |
|
5 |
£560,000 |
£560,000 |
0.621 |
£347,716 |
|
6 |
£680,000 |
£680,000 |
0.564 |
£383,842 |
|
Totals |
£2,180,000 |
NPV £533,750 |
Sometimes called DCF Yield or DCF Return On Investment
- INVEST if IRR is greater than the cost of capital or threshold discount rate.
- Always choose the project with the highest IRR
Decision Trees: Define all the possible outcomes, the probability of each, and its value. Choose the best alternative.
Forced Choice: Decision makers choose among alternatives, selecting the one preferred and discarding the rest.
Takes multiple selection criteria into account
Important to inform sellers of these criteria
Removes personal bias, is more objective, and considers relative importance of different evaluation factors
Example criteria: |
Weight factor |
Payback period (in years) |
20% |
IRR (in percentage) |
40% |
Number of specialists and range of expertise |
10% |
Innovative (yes, No) |
10% (yes = 10%, No = 0%) |
Quality and reliability of solution |
20% |
Working Capital - How much money the company can invest
Depreciation
- Straight line same amount every year until 0
- Accelerated
- Double declining balance
- Sum of the Years Digits
Sunk Costs
Law of Diminishing Returns
Expert Judgement:
- Own experience based
- Other experts (SMEs) as required
Facilitation Techniques:
- Use facilitators when there are
- When you need formal meetings with management
Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, (PMBOK® – Fifth Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2013 Page 72 Guide)
Business Case – Customer contract and provide base to secure new business in EMEA
Objective: To set up a New Training Centre in Nairobi, to be operational within 9 months, at a cost not to exceed 3 million Euros
High Level Deliverables:
Out of scope: Fourth and fifth floors; Backup power generator
Risks: There may be delays in getting permissions to start the build; may be a lack of suitable local resource which could lead to extra cost through obtaining external resource
Assumptions: Firebrand's Operations Director will be available to hold talks with the local Government Ministers at the required times in months 2, 3 and 6.
Approval Requirements: Project Sponsor will approve the WBS before planning continues
Key Stakeholders: Government Ministers, Chief of Police, Local Magistrate, Firebrand SMT
Project Sponsor: A Barlow, Global Operations Director
Project Manager: B G Henman, PMP
The above example is very much summarised. In reality far more extensive text.
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